Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 14:00 • VBS Community Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.59 (league 1.71) 4.10 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
1.9% 4.9% 70.2%
best score tips
0 - 4
10.9%
0 - 3
10.6%
0 - 5
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Birmingham City W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Crystal Palace W 0 0.9% 3.8% 7.8% 10.6% 10.9% 8.9%
1 0.5% 2.2% 4.6% 6.2% 6.4% 5.2%
2 0.2% 0.7% 1.3% 1.8% 1.9% 1.5%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCrystal Palace WBirmingham City W
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack44%81%
Defense50%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.413 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

73%
FT probability

3.5+

52%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Crystal Palace W Birmingham City W
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins0%40%22%60%75%67%
Draws75%20%44%0%25%11%
Loses25%40%33%40%0%22%

Form: Crystal Palace W: LDWDDDLLW • Birmingham City W: WDWWLWLWW

League goals

Metric Crystal Palace W Birmingham City W
HATHAT
GF total8614151025
GF avg2.01.21.63.02.52.8
GA total96158210
GA avg2.31.21.71.60.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCrystal Palace WBirmingham City W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%100%89%78%
1.544%44%67%33%
2.511%11%56%0%
3.511%11%44%0%
4.50%0%22%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCrystal Palace WBirmingham City W
HATHAT
Clean sheets000022
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricCrystal Palace WBirmingham City W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricCrystal Palace WBirmingham City W
Wins12
Draws31
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-25-10-4
Biggest losses1-22-11-2—
Goals For4254
Goals Against4221

Model comparison

MetricCrystal Palace WBirmingham City W
Form36%64%
Att35%65%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution15%85%
H2h50%50%
Goals43%57%
Total36.2%63.8%

Advice: Winner : Birmingham City W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.09 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away1.80 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.83 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.72 @ Unibet
No2.10 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Crystal Palace W = 0.59 (league 1.71), Birmingham City W = 4.10 (league 1.40)

Birmingham City W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Crystal Palace W 0 0.9% 3.8% 7.8% 10.6% 10.9% 8.9%
1 0.5% 2.2% 4.6% 6.2% 6.4% 5.2%
2 0.2% 0.7% 1.3% 1.8% 1.9% 1.5%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.9% · Draw 4.9% · Away win 70.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1