Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 14:00 • City Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.72) 2.61 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.3% 16.6% 64.0%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.1%
0 - 2
8.1%
1 - 3
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Sunderland W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nottingham Forest W 0 2.4% 6.2% 8.1% 7.0% 4.6% 2.4%
1 2.7% 7.0% 9.1% 7.9% 5.2% 2.7%
2 1.5% 4.0% 5.2% 4.5% 2.9% 1.5%
3 0.6% 1.5% 2.0% 1.7% 1.1% 0.6%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNottingham Forest WSunderland W
Played55
Form47%7%
Attack44%38%
Defense44%19%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.813 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nottingham Forest W Sunderland W
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins25%60%44%20%25%22%
Draws0%20%11%20%50%33%
Loses75%20%44%60%25%44%

Form: Nottingham Forest W: LWLWWLWLD • Sunderland W: WDWDLDLLL

League goals

Metric Nottingham Forest W Sunderland W
HATHAT
GF total66127714
GF avg1.51.21.31.41.81.6
GA total861411516
GA avg2.01.21.62.21.31.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNottingham Forest WSunderland W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%78%89%89%
1.533%56%44%44%
2.522%22%11%33%
3.511%0%11%11%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNottingham Forest WSunderland W
HATHAT
Clean sheets022011
Failed to score123101

Penalties

MetricNottingham Forest WSunderland W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNottingham Forest WSunderland W
Wins21
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-32-10-4
Biggest losses0-33-02-43-1
Goals For4324
Goals Against3343

Model comparison

MetricNottingham Forest WSunderland W
Form88%13%
Att54%46%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total58.8%41.5%

Advice: Double chance : Nottingham Forest W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.92 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away3.88 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Nottingham Forest W = 1.13 (league 1.72), Sunderland W = 2.61 (league 1.38)

Sunderland W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nottingham Forest W 0 2.4% 6.2% 8.1% 7.0% 4.6% 2.4%
1 2.7% 7.0% 9.1% 7.9% 5.2% 2.7%
2 1.5% 4.0% 5.2% 4.5% 2.9% 1.5%
3 0.6% 1.5% 2.0% 1.7% 1.1% 0.6%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.3% · Draw 16.6% · Away win 64.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1