Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 14:00 • St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.44 (league 1.72) 1.39 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.8% 18.7% 20.4%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.0%
1 - 1
7.4%
3 - 1
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
Durham W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Birmingham City W 0 2.2% 3.0% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 5.3% 7.4% 5.1% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.5% 9.0% 6.2% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 5.3% 7.3% 5.1% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
4 3.2% 4.5% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
5 1.6% 2.2% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBirmingham City WDurham W
Played55
Form60%40%
Attack80%47%
Defense60%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

84%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Birmingham City W Durham W
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins60%60%60%20%20%20%
Draws0%20%10%60%20%40%
Loses40%20%30%20%60%40%

Form: Birmingham City W: WDWWLWLWWL • Durham W: WLLDLWLDDD

League goals

Metric Birmingham City W Durham W
HATHAT
GF total1510257613
GF avg3.02.02.51.41.21.3
GA total85135712
GA avg1.61.01.31.01.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBirmingham City WDurham W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%100%80%
1.560%40%20%40%
2.550%10%10%0%
3.540%0%0%0%
4.520%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBirmingham City WDurham W
HATHAT
Clean sheets022112
Failed to score112000

Penalties

MetricBirmingham City WDurham W
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricBirmingham City WDurham W
Wins21
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-43-00-2
Biggest losses1-23-01-22-1
Goals For5432
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricBirmingham City WDurham W
Form60%40%
Att63%37%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h40%60%
Goals55%45%
Total54.8%45.2%

Advice: Double chance : Birmingham City W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.25 @ Unibet
Draw6.18 @ Pinnacle
Away12.00 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.07 @ 188Bet
No1.77 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.67 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Birmingham City W = 2.44 (league 1.72), Durham W = 1.39 (league 1.38)

Durham W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Birmingham City W 0 2.2% 3.0% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 5.3% 7.4% 5.1% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.5% 9.0% 6.2% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 5.3% 7.3% 5.1% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
4 3.2% 4.5% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
5 1.6% 2.2% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.8% · Draw 18.7% · Away win 20.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1