Wed, Dec 17 2025 • 19:00 • Ashton Gate Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.23 (league 1.72) 0.52 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
73.9% 16.3% 7.2%
best score tips
2 - 0
15.9%
1 - 0
14.2%
3 - 0
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
Crystal Palace W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bristol City W 0 6.4% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.2% 7.4% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.9% 8.3% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.8% 6.2% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.6% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBristol City WCrystal Palace W
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack100%57%
Defense57%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)17 | 3.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bristol City W Crystal Palace W
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins80%40%60%20%40%30%
Draws0%20%10%60%20%40%
Loses20%40%30%20%40%30%

Form: Bristol City W: LWWLWDWWLW • Crystal Palace W: LDWDDDLLWW

League goals

Metric Bristol City W Crystal Palace W
HATHAT
GF total1682411617
GF avg3.21.62.42.21.21.7
GA total311149615
GA avg0.62.21.41.81.21.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBristol City WCrystal Palace W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%60%90%90%
1.560%50%50%40%
2.530%10%20%10%
3.530%10%10%10%
4.510%10%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBristol City WCrystal Palace W
HATHAT
Clean sheets314101
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricBristol City WCrystal Palace W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricBristol City WCrystal Palace W
Wins21
Draws13
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-02-43-01-2
Biggest losses1-25-11-22-1
Goals For7442
Goals Against2542

Model comparison

MetricBristol City WCrystal Palace W
Form59%41%
Att68%32%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution82%18%
H2h93%7%
Goals100%0%
Total70.4%29.6%

Advice: Double chance : Bristol City W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.60 @ Unibet
Draw3.71 @ Pinnacle
Away2.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.77 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.11 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ Superbet
No2.25 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Bristol City W = 2.23 (league 1.72), Crystal Palace W = 0.52 (league 1.38)

Crystal Palace W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bristol City W 0 6.4% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.2% 7.4% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.9% 8.3% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.8% 6.2% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.6% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.9% · Draw 16.3% · Away win 7.2%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1