Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 14:00 • Westleigh Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.25 (league 1.72) 2.87 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.8% 15.3% 63.5%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.4%
1 - 3
8.0%
0 - 2
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
Newcastle United W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Portsmouth W 0 1.6% 4.7% 6.7% 6.4% 4.6% 2.6%
1 2.0% 5.8% 8.4% 8.0% 5.7% 3.3%
2 1.3% 3.7% 5.2% 5.0% 3.6% 2.1%
3 0.5% 1.5% 2.2% 2.1% 1.5% 0.9%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPortsmouth WNewcastle United W
Played55
Form47%73%
Attack71%79%
Defense0%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Portsmouth W Newcastle United W
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins40%20%30%40%40%40%
Draws20%0%10%40%40%40%
Loses40%80%60%20%20%20%

Form: Portsmouth W: LLWLLLWWLD • Newcastle United W: WDLLDDWDWW

League goals

Metric Portsmouth W Newcastle United W
HATHAT
GF total681471118
GF avg1.21.61.41.42.21.8
GA total916255914
GA avg1.83.22.51.01.81.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePortsmouth WNewcastle United W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%90%90%90%
1.550%70%60%30%
2.510%40%20%10%
3.50%30%10%10%
4.50%20%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPortsmouth WNewcastle United W
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricPortsmouth WNewcastle United W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPortsmouth WNewcastle United W
Wins21
Draws02
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-12-33-11-4
Biggest losses2-55-20-14-2
Goals For2334
Goals Against5524

Model comparison

MetricPortsmouth WNewcastle United W
Form39%61%
Att48%52%
Def26%74%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h0%100%
Goals29%71%
Total35.0%65.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Newcastle United W and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.40 @ 1xBet
Draw4.87 @ Pinnacle
Away1.40 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.41 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ 188Bet
No2.00 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Portsmouth W = 1.25 (league 1.72), Newcastle United W = 2.87 (league 1.38)

Newcastle United W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Portsmouth W 0 1.6% 4.7% 6.7% 6.4% 4.6% 2.6%
1 2.0% 5.8% 8.4% 8.0% 5.7% 3.3%
2 1.3% 3.7% 5.2% 5.0% 3.6% 2.1%
3 0.5% 1.5% 2.2% 2.1% 1.5% 0.9%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.8% · Draw 15.3% · Away win 63.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1