Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 12:00 • Maiden Castle
Match Postponed
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 1.71) 1.14 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.3% 27.2% 32.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.9%
1 - 0
11.3%
0 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Sunderland W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Durham W 0 8.6% 9.8% 5.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.3% 12.9% 7.3% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.4% 8.5% 4.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.2% 3.7% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDurham WSunderland W
Played55
Form20%20%
Attack25%50%
Defense50%13%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.614 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Durham W Sunderland W
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins20%17%18%33%20%27%
Draws60%17%36%17%40%27%
Loses20%67%45%50%40%45%

Form: Durham W: WLLDLWLDDDL • Sunderland W: WDWDLDLLLLW

League goals

Metric Durham W Sunderland W
HATHAT
GF total76139817
GF avg1.41.01.21.51.61.5
GA total5101512820
GA avg1.01.71.42.01.61.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDurham WSunderland W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%82%91%91%
1.518%45%45%45%
2.59%9%9%36%
3.50%0%9%9%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDurham WSunderland W
HATHAT
Clean sheets112011
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricDurham WSunderland W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricDurham WSunderland W
Wins11
Draws31
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-22-10-4
Biggest losses1-23-02-43-1
Goals For3224
Goals Against2343

Model comparison

MetricDurham WSunderland W
Form50%50%
Att33%67%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h29%71%
Goals38%62%
Total44.7%55.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sunderland W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.30 @ Dafabet
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away2.21 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.97 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Durham W = 1.31 (league 1.71), Sunderland W = 1.14 (league 1.40)

Sunderland W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Durham W 0 8.6% 9.8% 5.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.3% 12.9% 7.3% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.4% 8.5% 4.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.2% 3.7% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.3% · Draw 27.2% · Away win 32.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1