Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 14:00 • Gateshead International Stadium
Match Postponed
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.71) 1.42 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.6% 27.1% 50.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.1%
1 - 1
12.4%
0 - 2
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Birmingham City W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newcastle United W 0 10.6% 15.1% 10.8% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5%
1 8.7% 12.4% 8.8% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
2 3.6% 5.1% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
3 1.0% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNewcastle United WBirmingham City W
Played55
Form87%60%
Attack69%69%
Defense75%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Newcastle United W Birmingham City W
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins40%50%45%67%60%64%
Draws40%33%36%0%20%9%
Loses20%17%18%33%20%27%

Form: Newcastle United W: WDLLDDWDWWW • Birmingham City W: WDWWLWLWWLW

League goals

Metric Newcastle United W Birmingham City W
HATHAT
GF total71320181028
GF avg1.42.21.83.02.02.5
GA total510158513
GA avg1.01.71.41.31.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNewcastle United WBirmingham City W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%91%82%73%
1.564%27%64%36%
2.518%9%55%9%
3.59%9%36%0%
4.50%0%18%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNewcastle United WBirmingham City W
HATHAT
Clean sheets101123
Failed to score101112

Penalties

MetricNewcastle United WBirmingham City W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricNewcastle United WBirmingham City W
Wins12
Draws21
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-45-10-4
Biggest losses0-14-21-23-0
Goals For3454
Goals Against2423

Model comparison

MetricNewcastle United WBirmingham City W
Form59%41%
Att50%50%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total51.0%49.0%

Advice: Double chance : Newcastle United W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.80 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.56 @ Pinnacle
Away2.05 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Betfair
Under 2.52.03 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ Betfair
No2.10 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Newcastle United W = 0.82 (league 1.71), Birmingham City W = 1.42 (league 1.40)

Birmingham City W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newcastle United W 0 10.6% 15.1% 10.8% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5%
1 8.7% 12.4% 8.8% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
2 3.6% 5.1% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
3 1.0% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.6% · Draw 27.1% · Away win 50.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1