Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 14:00 • City Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.32 (league 1.71) 2.05 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.1% 19.6% 33.4%
best score tips
2 - 2
7.2%
2 - 1
7.0%
1 - 2
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
Bristol City W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nottingham Forest W 0 1.3% 2.6% 2.7% 1.8% 0.9% 0.4%
1 2.9% 6.0% 6.2% 4.2% 2.2% 0.9%
2 3.4% 7.0% 7.2% 4.9% 2.5% 1.0%
3 2.6% 5.4% 5.5% 3.8% 1.9% 0.8%
4 1.5% 3.1% 3.2% 2.2% 1.1% 0.5%
5 0.7% 1.5% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNottingham Forest WBristol City W
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack44%100%
Defense50%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.417 | 3.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nottingham Forest W Bristol City W
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins40%50%45%67%40%55%
Draws0%17%9%0%20%9%
Loses60%33%45%33%40%36%

Form: Nottingham Forest W: LWLWWLWLDWL • Bristol City W: LWWLWDWWLWL

League goals

Metric Nottingham Forest W Bristol City W
HATHAT
GF total971618826
GF avg1.81.21.53.01.62.4
GA total981761117
GA avg1.81.31.51.02.21.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNottingham Forest WBristol City W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%82%91%64%
1.536%55%64%55%
2.527%18%27%18%
3.59%0%27%9%
4.50%0%9%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNottingham Forest WBristol City W
HATHAT
Clean sheets022314
Failed to score123011

Penalties

MetricNottingham Forest WBristol City W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricNottingham Forest WBristol City W
Wins22
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-37-02-4
Biggest losses0-33-02-35-1
Goals For4374
Goals Against3335

Model comparison

MetricNottingham Forest WBristol City W
Form44%56%
Att29%71%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h100%0%
Goals67%33%
Total48.2%51.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Nottingham Forest W or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.67 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away2.65 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.94 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.20 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Unibet
No2.40 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nottingham Forest W = 2.32 (league 1.71), Bristol City W = 2.05 (league 1.40)

Bristol City W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nottingham Forest W 0 1.3% 2.6% 2.7% 1.8% 0.9% 0.4%
1 2.9% 6.0% 6.2% 4.2% 2.2% 0.9%
2 3.4% 7.0% 7.2% 4.9% 2.5% 1.0%
3 2.6% 5.4% 5.5% 3.8% 1.9% 0.8%
4 1.5% 3.1% 3.2% 2.2% 1.1% 0.5%
5 0.7% 1.5% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.1% · Draw 19.6% · Away win 33.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1