Sun, Jan 25 2026 • 14:00 •
Eppleton Colliery Welfare Ground
Expected Goals
1.49 (league 1.71)
3.28 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 13.7% | 13.8% | 60.7% |
best score tips
1 - 3
7.4%
1 - 2
6.8%
1 - 4
6.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Southampton W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sunderland W | 0 | 0.8% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% |
| 1 | 1.3% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.0% | |
| 2 | 0.9% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sunderland W | Southampton W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 47% |
| Attack | 47% | 47% |
| Defense | 18% | 76% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
72%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
83%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sunderland W | Southampton W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 33% | 20% | 27% | 33% | 50% | 42% |
| Draws | 17% | 40% | 27% | 33% | 17% | 25% |
| Loses | 50% | 40% | 45% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Form: Sunderland W: WDWDLDLLLLW • Southampton W: WDLDWWLLDLWW
League goals
| Metric | Sunderland W | Southampton W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 8 | 17 | 12 | 14 | 26 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2.2 |
| GA total | 12 | 8 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 16 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sunderland W | Southampton W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 91% | 91% | 83% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 45% | 58% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 36% | 33% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 9% | 33% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 8% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sunderland W | Southampton W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sunderland W | Southampton W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sunderland W | Southampton W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-4 | 4-0 | 2-5 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 3-1 | 2-3 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sunderland W | Southampton W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 30% | 70% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 22% | 78% |
| Poisson Distribution | 32% | 68% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 37.3% | 62.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Southampton W and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sunderland W = 1.49 (league 1.71), Southampton W = 3.28 (league 1.40)
| Southampton W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sunderland W | 0 | 0.8% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% |
| 1 | 1.3% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.0% | |
| 2 | 0.9% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.7% · Draw 13.8% · Away win 60.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1