Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 12:00 • Maiden Castle
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.68 (league 1.73) 0.93 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
68.8% 15.0% 10.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
9.7%
2 - 1
9.0%
3 - 0
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
Portsmouth W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Durham W 0 2.7% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 7.3% 6.8% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.7% 9.0% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.7% 8.1% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 5.8% 5.4% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 3.1% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDurham WPortsmouth W
Played55
Form20%7%
Attack30%40%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 216 | 3.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Durham W Portsmouth W
HATHAT
Played57127613
Wins20%14%17%29%17%23%
Draws60%14%33%14%0%8%
Loses20%71%50%57%83%69%

Form: Durham W: WLLDLWLDDDLL • Portsmouth W: LLWLLLWWLDLLL

League goals

Metric Durham W Portsmouth W
HATHAT
GF total76137815
GF avg1.40.91.11.01.31.2
GA total51419152035
GA avg1.02.01.62.13.32.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDurham WPortsmouth W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%83%69%92%
1.517%50%38%77%
2.58%17%8%46%
3.50%8%0%38%
4.50%0%0%15%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDurham WPortsmouth W
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score022224

Penalties

MetricDurham WPortsmouth W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricDurham WPortsmouth W
Wins12
Draws31
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-22-12-3
Biggest losses1-24-00-44-0
Goals For3223
Goals Against2455

Model comparison

MetricDurham WPortsmouth W
Form75%25%
Att43%57%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total63.5%36.5%

Advice: Double chance : Durham W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.94 @ Dafabet
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away3.80 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.78 @ Betano
Under 2.52.23 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.61 @ Unibet
No2.30 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Durham W = 2.68 (league 1.73), Portsmouth W = 0.93 (league 1.40)

Portsmouth W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Durham W 0 2.7% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 7.3% 6.8% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.7% 9.0% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.7% 8.1% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 5.8% 5.4% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 3.1% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.8% · Draw 15.0% · Away win 10.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1