Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 14:00 • St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.26 (league 1.73) 1.12 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.3% 19.3% 17.5%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.7%
2 - 0
8.7%
1 - 1
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
Nottingham Forest W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Birmingham City W 0 3.4% 3.8% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 7.7% 8.6% 4.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.7% 9.7% 5.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.6% 7.3% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 3.7% 4.1% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
5 1.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBirmingham City WNottingham Forest W
Played55
Form80%47%
Attack100%70%
Defense50%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 37 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Birmingham City W Nottingham Forest W
HATHAT
Played66127613
Wins67%67%67%43%50%46%
Draws0%17%8%0%17%8%
Loses33%17%25%57%33%46%

Form: Birmingham City W: WDWWLWLWWLWW • Nottingham Forest W: LWLWWLWLDWLLW

League goals

Metric Birmingham City W Nottingham Forest W
HATHAT
GF total18143212719
GF avg3.02.32.71.71.21.5
GA total851313821
GA avg1.30.81.11.91.31.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBirmingham City WNottingham Forest W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%67%77%77%
1.567%33%38%54%
2.558%8%23%23%
3.542%0%8%8%
4.517%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBirmingham City WNottingham Forest W
HATHAT
Clean sheets134123
Failed to score112123

Penalties

MetricBirmingham City WNottingham Forest W
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricBirmingham City WNottingham Forest W
Wins22
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-44-12-3
Biggest losses1-23-00-33-0
Goals For5443
Goals Against2343

Model comparison

MetricBirmingham City WNottingham Forest W
Form63%37%
Att68%32%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total64.3%35.8%

Advice: Double chance : Birmingham City W or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ Bet365
Draw4.33 @ Pinnacle
Away5.97 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.30 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Superbet
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Birmingham City W = 2.26 (league 1.73), Nottingham Forest W = 1.12 (league 1.40)

Nottingham Forest W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Birmingham City W 0 3.4% 3.8% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 7.7% 8.6% 4.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.7% 9.7% 5.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.6% 7.3% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 3.7% 4.1% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
5 1.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.3% · Draw 19.3% · Away win 17.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1