Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 14:00 • St. Mary's Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.34 (league 1.64) 1.06 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.9% 27.3% 29.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.9%
1 - 0
12.1%
0 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Crystal Palace W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southampton W 0 9.1% 9.6% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.1% 12.9% 6.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.1% 8.6% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.6% 3.9% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSouthampton WCrystal Palace W
Played55
Form47%100%
Attack70%100%
Defense70%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.413 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Southampton W Crystal Palace W
HATHAT
Played67136713
Wins33%43%38%33%57%46%
Draws33%14%23%50%14%31%
Loses33%43%38%17%29%23%

Form: Southampton W: WDLDWWLLDLWWL • Crystal Palace W: LDWDDDLLWWWWW

League goals

Metric Southampton W Crystal Palace W
HATHAT
GF total121426151025
GF avg2.02.02.02.51.41.9
GA total611179817
GA avg1.01.61.31.51.11.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSouthampton WCrystal Palace W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%77%92%77%
1.554%31%54%38%
2.531%15%31%8%
3.531%8%15%8%
4.58%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSouthampton WCrystal Palace W
HATHAT
Clean sheets213213
Failed to score123011

Penalties

MetricSouthampton WCrystal Palace W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSouthampton WCrystal Palace W
Wins21
Draws13
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-54-02-3
Biggest losses2-32-11-22-1
Goals For4543
Goals Against3442

Model comparison

MetricSouthampton WCrystal Palace W
Form32%68%
Att35%65%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h71%29%
Goals57%43%
Total50.3%49.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Crystal Palace W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.65 @ Dafabet
Draw3.79 @ Pinnacle
Away1.93 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.00 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ William Hill
No2.20 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Southampton W = 1.34 (league 1.64), Crystal Palace W = 1.06 (league 1.32)

Crystal Palace W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southampton W 0 9.1% 9.6% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.1% 12.9% 6.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.1% 8.6% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.6% 3.9% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.9% · Draw 27.3% · Away win 29.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1