Wed, Mar 11 2026 • 19:00 • Eppleton Colliery Welfare Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.63 (league 1.63) 1.43 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.7% 23.9% 33.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.9%
2 - 1
8.9%
1 - 2
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Nottingham Forest W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sunderland W 0 4.7% 6.7% 4.8% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
1 7.6% 10.9% 7.8% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.2% 8.9% 6.4% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.4% 4.8% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.4% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSunderland WNottingham Forest W
Played55
Form60%20%
Attack47%33%
Defense40%13%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.813 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sunderland W Nottingham Forest W
HATHAT
Played77148715
Wins43%29%36%38%43%40%
Draws14%29%21%0%14%7%
Loses43%43%43%63%43%53%

Form: Sunderland W: WDWDLDLLLLWWLW • Nottingham Forest W: LWLWWLWLDWLLWLL

League goals

Metric Sunderland W Nottingham Forest W
HATHAT
GF total10112112820
GF avg1.41.61.51.51.11.3
GA total121325151328
GA avg1.71.91.81.91.91.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSunderland WNottingham Forest W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%86%73%80%
1.543%50%33%60%
2.514%36%20%27%
3.57%7%7%13%
4.50%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSunderland WNottingham Forest W
HATHAT
Clean sheets112123
Failed to score112224

Penalties

MetricSunderland WNottingham Forest W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSunderland WNottingham Forest W
Wins22
Draws11
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-44-12-3
Biggest losses2-43-00-35-1
Goals For2443
Goals Against4345

Model comparison

MetricSunderland WNottingham Forest W
Form75%25%
Att58%42%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h0%100%
Goals25%75%
Total54.0%46.0%

Advice: Double chance : Sunderland W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.20 @ Unibet
Draw3.80 @ Bet365
Away2.17 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.72 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.12 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ Unibet
No2.22 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Sunderland W = 1.63 (league 1.63), Nottingham Forest W = 1.43 (league 1.30)

Nottingham Forest W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sunderland W 0 4.7% 6.7% 4.8% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
1 7.6% 10.9% 7.8% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.2% 8.9% 6.4% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.4% 4.8% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.4% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.7% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 33.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1