Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 12:00 • Maiden Castle
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.28 (league 1.65) 1.99 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.1% 21.7% 52.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.7%
1 - 2
9.6%
0 - 1
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
Southampton W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Durham W 0 3.8% 7.6% 7.6% 5.0% 2.5% 1.0%
1 4.9% 9.7% 9.6% 6.4% 3.2% 1.3%
2 3.1% 6.2% 6.1% 4.1% 2.0% 0.8%
3 1.3% 2.6% 2.6% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3%
4 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDurham WSouthampton W
Played55
Form27%40%
Attack67%50%
Defense8%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Durham W Southampton W
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins25%11%18%33%50%41%
Draws50%11%29%22%13%18%
Loses25%78%53%44%38%41%

Form: Durham W: WLLDLWLDDDLLWDLLL • Southampton W: WDLDWWLLDLWWLWLWL

League goals

Metric Durham W Southampton W
HATHAT
GF total12921161632
GF avg1.51.01.21.82.01.9
GA total102030101121
GA avg1.32.21.81.11.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDurham WSouthampton W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%88%76%76%
1.529%53%53%29%
2.56%24%29%12%
3.50%12%24%6%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDurham WSouthampton W
HATHAT
Clean sheets112224
Failed to score022224

Penalties

MetricDurham WSouthampton W
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricDurham WSouthampton W
Wins12
Draws31
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-24-02-5
Biggest losses2-34-02-32-1
Goals For3245
Goals Against3434

Model comparison

MetricDurham WSouthampton W
Form40%60%
Att57%43%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h62%38%
Goals56%44%
Total47.8%52.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Southampton W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.40 @ Unibet
Draw3.69 @ Pinnacle
Away2.15 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.99 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Unibet
No2.15 @ BetVictor
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Durham W = 1.28 (league 1.65), Southampton W = 1.99 (league 1.31)

Southampton W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Durham W 0 3.8% 7.6% 7.6% 5.0% 2.5% 1.0%
1 4.9% 9.7% 9.6% 6.4% 3.2% 1.3%
2 3.1% 6.2% 6.1% 4.1% 2.0% 0.8%
3 1.3% 2.6% 2.6% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3%
4 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.1% · Draw 21.7% · Away win 52.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1