Sun, Mar 29 2026 • 13:00 • Eppleton Colliery Welfare Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.35 (league 1.65) 2.47 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.5% 18.4% 57.9%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.0%
1 - 3
7.4%
1 - 1
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
Newcastle United W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sunderland W 0 2.2% 5.4% 6.7% 5.5% 3.4% 1.7%
1 3.0% 7.3% 9.0% 7.4% 4.6% 2.3%
2 2.0% 4.9% 6.1% 5.0% 3.1% 1.5%
3 0.9% 2.2% 2.8% 2.3% 1.4% 0.7%
4 0.3% 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSunderland WNewcastle United W
Played55
Form53%73%
Attack78%78%
Defense33%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sunderland W Newcastle United W
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins33%33%33%44%44%44%
Draws33%22%28%44%33%39%
Loses33%44%39%11%22%17%

Form: Sunderland W: WDWDLDLLLLWWLWDLDW • Newcastle United W: WDLLDDWDWWWLDWWDWD

League goals

Metric Sunderland W Newcastle United W
HATHAT
GF total131225121729
GF avg1.41.31.41.31.91.6
GA total15142961420
GA avg1.71.61.60.71.61.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSunderland WNewcastle United W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%83%89%78%
1.539%44%56%22%
2.511%28%11%6%
3.56%6%6%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSunderland WNewcastle United W
HATHAT
Clean sheets123404
Failed to score123202

Penalties

MetricSunderland WNewcastle United W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSunderland WNewcastle United W
Wins23
Draws12
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-43-11-4
Biggest losses2-43-00-14-2
Goals For2434
Goals Against4324

Model comparison

MetricSunderland WNewcastle United W
Form42%58%
Att50%50%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h0%100%
Goals25%75%
Total35.8%64.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Newcastle United W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.36 @ 1xBet
Draw3.52 @ Pinnacle
Away2.15 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.91 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sunderland W = 1.35 (league 1.65), Newcastle United W = 2.47 (league 1.31)

Newcastle United W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sunderland W 0 2.2% 5.4% 6.7% 5.5% 3.4% 1.7%
1 3.0% 7.3% 9.0% 7.4% 4.6% 2.3%
2 2.0% 4.9% 6.1% 5.0% 3.1% 1.5%
3 0.9% 2.2% 2.8% 2.3% 1.4% 0.7%
4 0.3% 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.5% · Draw 18.4% · Away win 57.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1