Sun, Apr 5 2026 • 11:00 •
Maiden Castle
Expected Goals
1.58 (league 1.64)
1.50 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 39.3% | 23.9% | 35.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.9%
2 - 1
8.6%
1 - 2
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Bristol City W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Durham W | 0 | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 7.3% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Durham W | Bristol City W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 27% |
| Attack | 43% | 36% |
| Defense | 21% | 43% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Durham W | Bristol City W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Wins | 22% | 10% | 16% | 60% | 33% | 47% |
| Draws | 56% | 10% | 32% | 0% | 33% | 16% |
| Loses | 22% | 80% | 53% | 40% | 33% | 37% |
Form: Durham W: WLLDLWLDDDLLWDLLLDL • Bristol City W: LWWLWDWWLWLWDWLLDWL
League goals
| Metric | Durham W | Bristol City W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 10 | 22 | 23 | 16 | 39 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 10 | 22 | 32 | 10 | 18 | 28 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Durham W | Bristol City W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 84% | 84% | 84% | 74% |
| 1.5 | 26% | 53% | 58% | 53% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 21% | 26% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 11% | 21% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Durham W | Bristol City W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Durham W | Bristol City W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Durham W | Bristol City W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 7-0 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 4-0 | 0-2 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 7 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Durham W | Bristol City W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 20% | 80% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 53% | 47% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 27% | 73% |
| Total | 37.7% | 62.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Bristol City W
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Durham W = 1.58 (league 1.64), Bristol City W = 1.50 (league 1.32)
| Bristol City W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Durham W | 0 | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 7.3% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.3% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 35.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1