Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 13:50 • Leigh Sports Village Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.28 (league 1.76) 1.70 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.1% 20.0% 28.2%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.2%
1 - 1
7.2%
2 - 2
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
Arsenal W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester United W 0 1.9% 3.2% 2.7% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2%
1 4.3% 7.2% 6.2% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5%
2 4.8% 8.2% 7.0% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
3 3.7% 6.3% 5.3% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4%
4 2.1% 3.6% 3.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.3%
5 1.0% 1.6% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricManchester United WArsenal W
Played22
Form100%100%
Attack56%56%
Defense94%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 4.59 | 4.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.52 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

9.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

9.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

70%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Manchester United W Arsenal W
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins100%100%100%100%100%100%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Manchester United W: WW • Arsenal W: WW

League goals

Metric Manchester United W Arsenal W
HATHAT
GF total459459
GF avg4.05.04.54.05.04.5
GA total011112
GA avg0.01.00.51.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineManchester United WArsenal W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%100%100%
1.5100%0%100%0%
2.5100%0%100%0%
3.5100%0%100%0%
4.550%0%50%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricManchester United WArsenal W
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricManchester United WArsenal W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricManchester United WArsenal W
Wins22
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-54-11-5
Biggest losses
Goals For4545
Goals Against0111

Model comparison

MetricManchester United WArsenal W
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h38%62%
Goals44%56%
Total49.8%50.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Manchester United W or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.55 @ Unibet
Draw3.81 @ Pinnacle
Away2.05 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.72 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.20 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.63 @ Unibet
No2.34 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Manchester United W = 2.28 (league 1.76), Arsenal W = 1.70 (league 1.47)

Arsenal W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester United W 0 1.9% 3.2% 2.7% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2%
1 4.3% 7.2% 6.2% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5%
2 4.8% 8.2% 7.0% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
3 3.7% 6.3% 5.3% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4%
4 2.1% 3.6% 3.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.3%
5 1.0% 1.6% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.1% · Draw 20.0% · Away win 28.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1