Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 11:00 • Villa Park
Match Postponed
Expected Goals
0.57 (league 1.76) 1.02 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.1% 34.1% 45.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
20.8%
0 - 0
20.4%
1 - 1
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Liverpool W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aston Villa W 0 20.4% 20.8% 10.6% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.6% 11.9% 6.1% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 3.3% 3.4% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAston Villa WLiverpool W
Played22
Form17%0%
Attack6%6%
Defense81%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.51 | 0.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 1.55 | 2.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aston Villa W Liverpool W
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins0%0%0%0%0%0%
Draws0%100%50%0%0%0%
Loses100%0%50%100%100%100%

Form: Aston Villa W: DL • Liverpool W: LL

League goals

Metric Aston Villa W Liverpool W
HATHAT
GF total101101
GF avg1.00.00.51.00.00.5
GA total303415
GA avg3.00.01.54.01.02.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAston Villa WLiverpool W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%50%50%100%
1.50%50%0%50%
2.50%50%0%50%
3.50%0%0%50%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAston Villa WLiverpool W
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricAston Villa WLiverpool W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAston Villa WLiverpool W
Wins00
Draws10
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins
Biggest losses1-31-41-0
Goals For1010
Goals Against3041

Model comparison

MetricAston Villa WLiverpool W
Form100%0%
Att50%50%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h29%71%
Goals37%63%
Total44.8%55.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Aston Villa W or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.98 @ Unibet
Draw3.88 @ Pinnacle
Away3.80 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.12 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ Pinnacle
No2.20 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aston Villa W = 0.57 (league 1.76), Liverpool W = 1.02 (league 1.47)

Liverpool W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aston Villa W 0 20.4% 20.8% 10.6% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.6% 11.9% 6.1% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 3.3% 3.4% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.1% · Draw 34.1% · Away win 45.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1