FA WSL — England
Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 11:00 • Emirates Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.43 (league 1.75) 0.34 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
79.2% 5.9% 1.6%
best score tips
3 - 0
15.4%
2 - 0
13.5%
4 - 0
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Aston Villa W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arsenal W 0 2.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.9% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.5% 4.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.4% 5.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 13.3% 4.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 9.1% 3.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArsenal WAston Villa W
Played32
Form78%17%
Attack60%7%
Defense87%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 31 | 0.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.73 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arsenal W Aston Villa W
HATHAT
Played123112
Wins100%50%67%0%0%0%
Draws0%50%33%0%100%50%
Loses0%0%0%100%0%50%

Form: Arsenal W: WWD • Aston Villa W: DL

League goals

Metric Arsenal W Aston Villa W
HATHAT
GF total459101
GF avg4.02.53.01.00.00.5
GA total112303
GA avg1.00.50.73.00.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArsenal WAston Villa W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%50%50%
1.567%0%0%50%
2.567%0%0%50%
3.567%0%0%0%
4.533%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArsenal WAston Villa W
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricArsenal WAston Villa W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricArsenal WAston Villa W
Wins20
Draws01
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-5——
Biggest losses——1-3—
Goals For4510
Goals Against1130

Model comparison

MetricArsenal WAston Villa W
Form88%13%
Att90%10%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h80%20%
Goals68%32%
Total77.2%23.0%

Advice: Winner : Arsenal W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.17 @ Bet365
Draw7.80 @ Pinnacle
Away19.00 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.03 @ 188Bet
No1.80 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.36 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.00 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Arsenal W = 3.43 (league 1.75), Aston Villa W = 0.34 (league 1.46)

Aston Villa W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arsenal W 0 2.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.9% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.5% 4.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.4% 5.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 13.3% 4.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 9.1% 3.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.2% · Draw 5.9% · Away win 1.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1