Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 11:00 • Academy Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.85 (league 1.76) 1.02 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
68.1% 14.3% 10.6%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.6%
2 - 0
8.5%
3 - 1
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
London City Lionesses
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester City W 0 2.1% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 5.9% 6.1% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.5% 8.6% 4.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 8.0% 8.2% 4.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 5.7% 5.8% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 3.3% 3.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricManchester City WLondon City Lionesses
Played33
Form67%33%
Attack57%29%
Defense71%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 2.74 | 1.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 1.310 | 3.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

78%
FT probability

3.5+

56%
FT probability

BTTS

96%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Manchester City W London City Lionesses
HATHAT
Played123123
Wins100%50%67%0%50%33%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%50%33%100%50%67%

Form: Manchester City W: LWW • London City Lionesses: LLW

League goals

Metric Manchester City W London City Lionesses
HATHAT
GF total268134
GF avg2.03.02.71.01.51.3
GA total1345510
GA avg1.01.51.35.02.53.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineManchester City WLondon City Lionesses
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.567%33%33%67%
2.533%0%0%67%
3.533%0%0%67%
4.533%0%0%33%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricManchester City WLondon City Lionesses
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricManchester City WLondon City Lionesses
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricManchester City WLondon City Lionesses
Wins00
Draws00
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-51-2
Biggest losses2-11-54-1
Goals For2512
Goals Against1254

Model comparison

MetricManchester City WLondon City Lionesses
Form67%33%
Att67%33%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total71.3%28.8%

Advice: Combo Winner : Manchester City W and +1.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.20 @ William Hill
Draw8.00 @ Bet365
Away15.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.38 @ Unibet
Under 2.53.25 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.91 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Manchester City W = 2.85 (league 1.76), London City Lionesses = 1.02 (league 1.47)

London City Lionesses
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester City W 0 2.1% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 5.9% 6.1% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.5% 8.6% 4.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 8.0% 8.2% 4.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 5.7% 5.8% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 3.3% 3.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.1% · Draw 14.3% · Away win 10.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1