Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 11:00 • The Broadfield Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.76) 1.36 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.2% 26.8% 41.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 1
11.2%
1 - 0
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Everton W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brighton W 0 8.2% 11.2% 7.6% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3%
1 9.3% 12.7% 8.7% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4%
2 5.3% 7.2% 4.9% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.0% 2.8% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBrighton WEverton W
Played33
Form44%33%
Attack36%36%
Defense79%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 1.75 | 1.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 15 | 1.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Brighton W Everton W
HATHAT
Played213213
Wins50%0%33%0%100%33%
Draws50%0%33%0%0%0%
Loses0%100%33%100%0%67%

Form: Brighton W: DLW • Everton W: WLL

League goals

Metric Brighton W Everton W
HATHAT
GF total415145
GF avg2.01.01.70.54.01.7
GA total123415
GA avg0.52.01.02.01.01.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBrighton WEverton W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%67%100%
1.533%33%33%67%
2.533%0%33%0%
3.533%0%33%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBrighton WEverton W
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score101101

Penalties

MetricBrighton WEverton W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricBrighton WEverton W
Wins01
Draws10
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-4
Biggest losses2-10-2
Goals For4114
Goals Against1221

Model comparison

MetricBrighton WEverton W
Form57%43%
Att50%50%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h60%40%
Goals61%39%
Total57.5%42.7%

Advice: Double chance : Brighton W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.42 @ 10Bet
Draw4.93 @ Pinnacle
Away7.00 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.45 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Pinnacle
No2.00 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Brighton W = 1.14 (league 1.76), Everton W = 1.36 (league 1.47)

Everton W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brighton W 0 8.2% 11.2% 7.6% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3%
1 9.3% 12.7% 8.7% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4%
2 5.3% 7.2% 4.9% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.0% 2.8% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.2% · Draw 26.8% · Away win 41.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1