Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 10:55 • Chigwell Construction Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.14 (league 1.76) 1.53 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
3.2% 23.0% 73.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
28.7%
0 - 2
22.0%
0 - 0
18.7%
Score & goals probability table
Aston Villa W
0 1 2 3 4 5
West Ham W 0 18.7% 28.7% 22.0% 11.2% 4.3% 1.3%
1 2.7% 4.1% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
2 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWest Ham WAston Villa W
Played43
Form0%22%
Attack14%14%
Defense0%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.52 | 0.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 3.54 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric West Ham W Aston Villa W
HATHAT
Played224123
Wins0%0%0%0%0%0%
Draws0%0%0%0%100%67%
Loses100%100%100%100%0%33%

Form: West Ham W: LLLL • Aston Villa W: DLD

League goals

Metric West Ham W Aston Villa W
HATHAT
GF total112112
GF avg0.50.50.51.00.50.7
GA total9514314
GA avg4.52.53.53.00.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWest Ham WAston Villa W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%67%67%
1.50%75%0%33%
2.50%75%0%33%
3.50%75%0%0%
4.50%25%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWest Ham WAston Villa W
HATHAT
Clean sheets000011
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricWest Ham WAston Villa W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricWest Ham WAston Villa W
Wins00
Draws01
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins
Biggest losses1-54-11-3
Goals For1111
Goals Against5431

Model comparison

MetricWest Ham WAston Villa W
Form0%100%
Att50%50%
Def22%78%
Poisson Distribution12%88%
H2h7%93%
Goals37%63%
Total25.6%74.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Aston Villa W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.00 @ William Hill
Draw3.98 @ Pinnacle
Away2.27 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.71 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.20 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.61 @ Pinnacle
No2.40 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): West Ham W = 0.14 (league 1.76), Aston Villa W = 1.53 (league 1.47)

Aston Villa W
0 1 2 3 4 5
West Ham W 0 18.7% 28.7% 22.0% 11.2% 4.3% 1.3%
1 2.7% 4.1% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
2 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.2% · Draw 23.0% · Away win 73.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1