Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 11:00 • Kingsmeadow
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.43 (league 1.76) 0.68 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.1% 43.3% 36.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
33.0%
0 - 1
22.5%
1 - 0
14.1%
Score & goals probability table
Tottenham Hotspur W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelsea W 0 33.0% 22.5% 7.7% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
1 14.1% 9.6% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 3.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChelsea WTottenham Hotspur W
Played55
Form87%80%
Attack100%64%
Defense73%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chelsea W Tottenham Hotspur W
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins100%67%80%67%100%80%
Draws0%33%20%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%33%0%20%

Form: Chelsea W: WWWWD • Tottenham Hotspur W: WWLWW

League goals

Metric Chelsea W Tottenham Hotspur W
HATHAT
GF total3811347
GF avg1.52.72.21.02.01.4
GA total123516
GA avg0.50.70.61.70.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChelsea WTottenham Hotspur W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%60%100%40%
1.560%0%40%20%
2.540%0%0%20%
3.520%0%0%20%
4.50%0%0%20%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChelsea WTottenham Hotspur W
HATHAT
Clean sheets112213
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricChelsea WTottenham Hotspur W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricChelsea WTottenham Hotspur W
Wins42
Draws00
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-41-00-2
Biggest losses1-5
Goals For2412
Goals Against1151

Model comparison

MetricChelsea WTottenham Hotspur W
Form52%48%
Att61%39%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h100%0%
Goals71%29%
Total59.6%40.4%

Advice: Double chance : Chelsea W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.20 @ William Hill
Draw8.00 @ Betfair
Away16.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.37 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.05 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.01 @ Pinnacle
No1.91 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chelsea W = 0.43 (league 1.76), Tottenham Hotspur W = 0.68 (league 1.47)

Tottenham Hotspur W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelsea W 0 33.0% 22.5% 7.7% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
1 14.1% 9.6% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 3.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.1% · Draw 43.3% · Away win 36.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1