FA WSL — England
Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 13:30 • Emirates Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.14 (league 1.75) 0.34 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
77.4% 15.7% 4.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
19.1%
1 - 0
17.8%
3 - 0
13.6%
Score & goals probability table
Brighton W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arsenal W 0 8.3% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.8% 6.1% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.1% 6.6% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.6% 4.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.3% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArsenal WBrighton W
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack100%67%
Defense33%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arsenal W Brighton W
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%33%40%67%0%40%
Draws50%33%40%33%0%20%
Loses0%33%20%0%100%40%

Form: Arsenal W: WWDDL • Brighton W: DLWWL

League goals

Metric Arsenal W Brighton W
HATHAT
GF total5712516
GF avg2.52.32.41.70.51.2
GA total246134
GA avg1.01.31.20.31.50.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArsenal WBrighton W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%60%60%
1.560%20%20%20%
2.540%20%20%0%
3.540%0%20%0%
4.520%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArsenal WBrighton W
HATHAT
Clean sheets011202
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricArsenal WBrighton W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricArsenal WBrighton W
Wins22
Draws21
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-54-1—
Biggest losses—3-2—2-1
Goals For4541
Goals Against1312

Model comparison

MetricArsenal WBrighton W
Form53%47%
Att67%33%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution90%10%
H2h80%20%
Goals83%17%
Total68.8%31.2%

Advice: Winner : Arsenal W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.20 @ William Hill
Draw8.00 @ Betfair
Away14.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.30 @ 10Bet
Under 2.53.40 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Betfair
No2.00 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Arsenal W = 2.14 (league 1.75), Brighton W = 0.34 (league 1.46)

Brighton W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arsenal W 0 8.3% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.8% 6.1% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.1% 6.6% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.6% 4.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.3% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.4% · Draw 15.7% · Away win 4.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1