Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 15:45 • Anfield
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.43 (league 1.76) 6.13 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.2% 0.8% 41.4%
best score tips
0 - 5
10.2%
0 - 4
8.4%
0 - 3
5.4%
Score & goals probability table
Manchester City W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Liverpool W 0 0.1% 0.9% 2.7% 5.4% 8.4% 10.2%
1 0.1% 0.4% 1.1% 2.3% 3.6% 4.4%
2 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 0.9%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLiverpool WManchester City W
Played45
Form0%80%
Attack9%100%
Defense27%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.315 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

74%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Liverpool W Manchester City W
HATHAT
Played224325
Wins0%0%0%100%50%80%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses100%100%100%0%50%20%

Form: Liverpool W: LLLL • Manchester City W: LWWWW

League goals

Metric Liverpool W Manchester City W
HATHAT
GF total1019615
GF avg0.50.00.33.03.03.0
GA total628437
GA avg3.01.02.01.31.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLiverpool WManchester City W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.525%100%100%100%
1.50%50%80%40%
2.50%25%60%0%
3.50%25%40%0%
4.50%0%20%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLiverpool WManchester City W
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score123000

Penalties

MetricLiverpool WManchester City W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricLiverpool WManchester City W
Wins00
Draws00
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-5
Biggest losses1-41-02-1
Goals For1045
Goals Against4122

Model comparison

MetricLiverpool WManchester City W
Form0%100%
Att6%94%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution9%91%
H2h0%100%
Goals24%76%
Total21.5%78.5%

Advice: Combo Winner : Manchester City W and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home11.00 @ Betfair
Draw6.07 @ Pinnacle
Away1.27 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.58 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.41 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ 188Bet
No1.74 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Liverpool W = 0.43 (league 1.76), Manchester City W = 6.13 (league 1.47)

Manchester City W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Liverpool W 0 0.1% 0.9% 2.7% 5.4% 8.4% 10.2%
1 0.1% 0.4% 1.1% 2.3% 3.6% 4.4%
2 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 0.9%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.2% · Draw 0.8% · Away win 41.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1