FA WSL — England
Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 12:00 • Villa Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.29 (league 1.75) 1.75 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
5.4% 20.4% 73.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
22.8%
0 - 2
20.0%
0 - 0
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Everton W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aston Villa W 0 13.0% 22.8% 20.0% 11.7% 5.1% 1.8%
1 3.7% 6.5% 5.7% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5%
2 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAston Villa WEverton W
Played55
Form40%7%
Attack33%25%
Defense67%17%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aston Villa W Everton W
HATHAT
Played235336
Wins0%33%20%0%33%17%
Draws50%67%60%0%33%17%
Loses50%0%20%100%33%67%

Form: Aston Villa W: DLDWD • Everton W: WLLLDL

League goals

Metric Aston Villa W Everton W
HATHAT
GF total134257
GF avg0.51.00.80.71.71.2
GA total3148311
GA avg1.50.30.82.71.01.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAston Villa WEverton W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%40%67%100%
1.520%20%17%50%
2.50%20%17%17%
3.50%0%17%17%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAston Villa WEverton W
HATHAT
Clean sheets123000
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricAston Villa WEverton W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAston Villa WEverton W
Wins11
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-2—1-4
Biggest losses1-3—1-41-0
Goals For1214
Goals Against3141

Model comparison

MetricAston Villa WEverton W
Form86%14%
Att57%43%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution18%82%
H2h29%71%
Goals31%69%
Total48.7%51.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Everton W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ William Hill
Draw4.10 @ Bet365
Away4.46 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ 188Bet
No2.23 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Aston Villa W = 0.29 (league 1.75), Everton W = 1.75 (league 1.46)

Everton W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aston Villa W 0 13.0% 22.8% 20.0% 11.7% 5.1% 1.8%
1 3.7% 6.5% 5.7% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5%
2 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.4% · Draw 20.4% · Away win 73.2%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1