FA WSL — England
Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 12:00 • Emirates Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.80 (league 1.75) 1.30 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.0% 28.7% 48.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.9%
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Chelsea W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arsenal W 0 12.2% 15.9% 10.3% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.8% 12.7% 8.3% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 3.9% 5.1% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.0% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArsenal WChelsea W
Played55
Form53%87%
Attack38%43%
Defense76%95%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 11 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arsenal W Chelsea W
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins67%50%57%100%67%86%
Draws33%25%29%0%33%14%
Loses0%25%14%0%0%0%

Form: Arsenal W: WWDDLWW • Chelsea W: WWWWDWW

League goals

Metric Arsenal W Chelsea W
HATHAT
GF total611176814
GF avg2.02.82.41.52.72.0
GA total257123
GA avg0.71.31.00.30.70.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArsenal WChelsea W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%71%100%43%
1.557%14%57%0%
2.543%14%29%0%
3.543%0%14%0%
4.514%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArsenal WChelsea W
HATHAT
Clean sheets112314
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricArsenal WChelsea W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricArsenal WChelsea W
Wins24
Draws21
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-52-00-4
Biggest losses—3-2——
Goals For4524
Goals Against1311

Model comparison

MetricArsenal WChelsea W
Form38%62%
Att47%53%
Def17%83%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h40%60%
Goals50%50%
Total39.7%60.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Chelsea W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.48 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.53 @ Pinnacle
Away2.80 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.82 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.03 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.25 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Arsenal W = 0.80 (league 1.75), Chelsea W = 1.30 (league 1.46)

Chelsea W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arsenal W 0 12.2% 15.9% 10.3% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.8% 12.7% 8.3% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 3.9% 5.1% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.0% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.0% · Draw 28.7% · Away win 48.0%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1