FA WSL — England
Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 12:00 • Academy Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.91 (league 1.71) 0.55 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.4% 36.3% 21.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
23.1%
1 - 0
21.1%
0 - 1
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Aston Villa W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester City W 0 23.1% 12.7% 3.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.1% 11.6% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.6% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricManchester City WAston Villa W
Played55
Form100%33%
Attack100%55%
Defense82%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Manchester City W Aston Villa W
HATHAT
Played5510459
Wins100%80%90%0%40%22%
Draws0%0%0%50%40%44%
Loses0%20%10%50%20%33%

Form: Manchester City W: LWWWWWWWWW • Aston Villa W: DLDWDDWLL

League goals

Metric Manchester City W Aston Villa W
HATHAT
GF total1313265510
GF avg2.62.62.61.31.01.1
GA total4599312
GA avg0.81.00.92.30.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineManchester City WAston Villa W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%70%78%56%
1.580%20%22%44%
2.550%0%11%33%
3.520%0%0%0%
4.510%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricManchester City WAston Villa W
HATHAT
Clean sheets213134
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricManchester City WAston Villa W
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricManchester City WAston Villa W
Wins01
Draws02
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-5—0-2
Biggest losses—2-11-32-1
Goals For4532
Goals Against2232

Model comparison

MetricManchester City WAston Villa W
Form75%25%
Att65%35%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h100%0%
Goals71%29%
Total71.6%28.4%

Advice: Double chance : Manchester City W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.30 @ Pinnacle
Draw6.00 @ Betfair
Away11.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.88 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Betfair
No2.00 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Manchester City W = 0.91 (league 1.71), Aston Villa W = 0.55 (league 1.45)

Aston Villa W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester City W 0 23.1% 12.7% 3.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.1% 11.6% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.6% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.4% · Draw 36.3% · Away win 21.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1