FA WSL — England
Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 12:00 • Academy Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.75) 0.55 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.7% 36.7% 21.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
23.6%
1 - 0
21.1%
0 - 1
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Aston Villa W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester City W 0 23.6% 13.0% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.1% 11.6% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.4% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricManchester City WAston Villa W
Played55
Form100%47%
Attack79%64%
Defense86%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Manchester City W Aston Villa W
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins100%80%90%20%40%30%
Draws0%0%0%40%40%40%
Loses0%20%10%40%20%30%

Form: Manchester City W: LWWWWWWWWW • Aston Villa W: DLDWDDWLLW

League goals

Metric Manchester City W Aston Villa W
HATHAT
GF total1313268513
GF avg2.62.62.61.61.01.3
GA total4599312
GA avg0.81.00.91.80.61.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineManchester City WAston Villa W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%70%80%50%
1.580%20%30%40%
2.550%0%20%30%
3.520%0%0%0%
4.510%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricManchester City WAston Villa W
HATHAT
Clean sheets213235
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricManchester City WAston Villa W
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricManchester City WAston Villa W
Wins01
Draws02
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-53-00-2
Biggest losses—2-11-32-1
Goals For4532
Goals Against2232

Model comparison

MetricManchester City WAston Villa W
Form68%32%
Att55%45%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h100%0%
Goals71%29%
Total68.2%31.8%

Advice: Double chance : Manchester City W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.25 @ Bet365
Draw6.34 @ Pinnacle
Away11.40 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.52 @ Betano
Under 2.52.92 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ 188Bet
No1.94 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Manchester City W = 0.89 (league 1.75), Aston Villa W = 0.55 (league 1.46)

Aston Villa W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester City W 0 23.6% 13.0% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.1% 11.6% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.4% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.7% · Draw 36.7% · Away win 21.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1