FA WSL — England
Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 12:00 • Broadfield Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.01 (league 1.75) 1.37 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.4% 27.2% 45.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 1
12.7%
1 - 0
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Chelsea W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brighton W 0 9.2% 12.7% 8.7% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
1 9.3% 12.8% 8.8% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 4.7% 6.4% 4.4% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.6% 2.2% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBrighton WChelsea W
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack57%36%
Defense57%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Brighton W Chelsea W
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins60%20%40%80%40%60%
Draws20%20%20%0%60%30%
Loses20%60%40%20%0%10%

Form: Brighton W: DLWWLLLDWW • Chelsea W: WWWWDWWDDL

League goals

Metric Brighton W Chelsea W
HATHAT
GF total1131461016
GF avg2.20.61.41.22.01.6
GA total5510246
GA avg1.01.01.00.40.80.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBrighton WChelsea W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%70%90%60%
1.530%20%40%0%
2.520%10%20%0%
3.520%0%10%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBrighton WChelsea W
HATHAT
Clean sheets213314
Failed to score123101

Penalties

MetricBrighton WChelsea W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBrighton WChelsea W
Wins24
Draws12
Losses30

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-12-00-4
Biggest losses2-32-10-1—
Goals For4124
Goals Against3211

Model comparison

MetricBrighton WChelsea W
Form47%53%
Att62%38%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h7%93%
Goals30%70%
Total37.8%62.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Chelsea W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.50 @ Unibet
Draw5.18 @ Pinnacle
Away1.45 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Betano
Under 2.52.78 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ 188Bet
No2.25 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Brighton W = 1.01 (league 1.75), Chelsea W = 1.37 (league 1.46)

Chelsea W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brighton W 0 9.2% 12.7% 8.7% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
1 9.3% 12.8% 8.8% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 4.7% 6.4% 4.4% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.6% 2.2% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.4% · Draw 27.2% · Away win 45.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1