FA WSL — England
Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 12:00 • Academy Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.73 (league 1.76) 0.97 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
68.5% 14.8% 10.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
9.2%
2 - 1
8.9%
3 - 0
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
Everton W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester City W 0 2.5% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 6.8% 6.5% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.2% 8.9% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.4% 8.1% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 5.8% 5.6% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
5 3.1% 3.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricManchester City WEverton W
Played55
Form100%27%
Attack88%41%
Defense88%35%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 37 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Manchester City W Everton W
HATHAT
Played65115611
Wins100%80%91%0%33%18%
Draws0%0%0%0%33%18%
Loses0%20%9%100%33%64%

Form: Manchester City W: LWWWWWWWWWW • Everton W: WLLLDLDLLWL

League goals

Metric Manchester City W Everton W
HATHAT
GF total19133241014
GF avg3.22.62.90.81.71.3
GA total551013922
GA avg0.81.00.92.61.52.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineManchester City WEverton W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%73%82%91%
1.582%18%18%64%
2.555%0%18%36%
3.527%0%9%9%
4.518%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricManchester City WEverton W
HATHAT
Clean sheets213011
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricManchester City WEverton W
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricManchester City WEverton W
Wins01
Draws01
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-11-5—1-4
Biggest losses—2-11-43-1
Goals For6514
Goals Against2243

Model comparison

MetricManchester City WEverton W
Form79%21%
Att68%32%
Def85%15%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h71%29%
Goals60%40%
Total73.3%26.7%

Advice: Winner : Manchester City W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.15 @ William Hill
Draw9.50 @ Betfair
Away26.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.36 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.30 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.28 @ Unibet
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Manchester City W = 2.73 (league 1.76), Everton W = 0.97 (league 1.41)

Everton W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester City W 0 2.5% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 6.8% 6.5% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.2% 8.9% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.4% 8.1% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 5.8% 5.6% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
5 3.1% 3.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.5% · Draw 14.8% · Away win 10.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1