FA WSL — England
Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 12:00 • Villa Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.91 (league 1.76) 0.77 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.9% 34.2% 28.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
18.7%
1 - 0
17.0%
0 - 1
14.3%
Score & goals probability table
Brighton W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aston Villa W 0 18.7% 14.3% 5.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
1 17.0% 13.1% 5.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.8% 5.9% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAston Villa WBrighton W
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack41%47%
Defense35%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aston Villa W Brighton W
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins20%33%27%50%20%36%
Draws40%33%36%17%20%18%
Loses40%33%36%33%60%45%

Form: Aston Villa W: DLDWDDWLLWL • Brighton W: DLWWLLLDWWL

League goals

Metric Aston Villa W Brighton W
HATHAT
GF total861411314
GF avg1.61.01.31.80.61.3
GA total99188513
GA avg1.81.51.61.31.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAston Villa WBrighton W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%55%64%73%
1.527%45%27%27%
2.518%36%18%18%
3.50%9%18%0%
4.50%9%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAston Villa WBrighton W
HATHAT
Clean sheets235213
Failed to score112224

Penalties

MetricAston Villa WBrighton W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAston Villa WBrighton W
Wins12
Draws21
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-24-10-1
Biggest losses1-36-10-32-1
Goals For3241
Goals Against3632

Model comparison

MetricAston Villa WBrighton W
Form46%54%
Att47%53%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h71%29%
Goals56%44%
Total53.7%46.3%

Advice: Double chance : Aston Villa W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.28 @ Unibet
Draw3.96 @ Pinnacle
Away3.10 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.38 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.59 @ 188Bet
No2.55 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Aston Villa W = 0.91 (league 1.76), Brighton W = 0.77 (league 1.41)

Brighton W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aston Villa W 0 18.7% 14.3% 5.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
1 17.0% 13.1% 5.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.8% 5.9% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.9% · Draw 34.2% · Away win 28.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1