Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 12:00 •
Kingsmeadow
Expected Goals
1.24 (league 1.74)
0.11 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1% | 29.5% | 3.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
32.1%
0 - 0
25.8%
2 - 0
19.9%
Score & goals probability table
| West Ham W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chelsea W | 0 | 25.8% | 2.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 32.1% | 3.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.9% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Chelsea W | West Ham W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 33% |
| Attack | 41% | 41% |
| Defense | 82% | 59% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Chelsea W | West Ham W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 80% | 50% | 64% | 17% | 0% | 9% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 27% | 33% | 0% | 18% |
| Loses | 20% | 0% | 9% | 50% | 100% | 73% |
Chelsea WWWWWDWWDDLW
West Ham WLLLLLLLDWLD
League goals
| Metric | Chelsea W | West Ham W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 13 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 9 | 24 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 2.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Chelsea W | West Ham W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 91% | 55% | 55% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 0% | 18% | 55% |
| 2.5 | 27% | 0% | 9% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 27% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Chelsea W | West Ham W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Chelsea W | West Ham W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Chelsea W | West Ham W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 7 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-4 | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | — | 1-5 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Chelsea W | West Ham W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 62% | 38% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 70% | 30% |
| Poisson Distribution | 93% | 7% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 88% | 12% |
| Total | 76.0% | 24.0% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.12 @ William Hill
Draw9.50 @ Bet365
Away21.00 @ Betfair
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.39 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.40 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.30 @ Unibet
No1.75 @ William Hill
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League standings
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