Sat, Jan 24 2026 • 12:30 •
Stamford Bridge
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.74)
0.48 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 48.7% | 34.3% | 17.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
22.7%
0 - 0
21.9%
2 - 0
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Arsenal W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chelsea W | 0 | 21.9% | 10.6% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.7% | 11.0% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.8% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Chelsea W | Arsenal W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 60% |
| Attack | 100% | 60% |
| Defense | 70% | 70% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-1
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Chelsea W | Arsenal W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 83% | 50% | 67% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 25% | 50% | 33% | 42% |
| Loses | 17% | 0% | 8% | 0% | 17% | 8% |
Chelsea WWWWWDWWDDLWW
Arsenal WWWDDLWWDDWWD
League goals
| Metric | Chelsea W | Arsenal W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 13 | 24 | 9 | 14 | 23 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Chelsea W | Arsenal W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 92% | 50% | 75% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 0% | 50% | 8% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 0% | 33% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 0% | 8% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Chelsea W | Arsenal W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Chelsea W | Arsenal W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Chelsea W | Arsenal W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-4 | 4-1 | 1-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | — | — | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Chelsea W | Arsenal W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 69% | 31% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 64% | 36% |
| Total | 60.7% | 39.5% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.95 @ William Hill
Draw3.74 @ Pinnacle
Away3.90 @ Bet365
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.87 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.01 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.71 @ 188Bet
No2.15 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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