FA WSL — England
Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 11:55 • Broadfield Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.95 (league 1.76) 0.92 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.8% 21.5% 17.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
11.0%
2 - 0
10.7%
1 - 1
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
London City Lionesses
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brighton W 0 5.7% 5.2% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.0% 10.2% 4.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.7% 9.9% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.0% 6.4% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.4% 3.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBrighton WLondon City Lionesses
Played55
Form60%27%
Attack47%27%
Defense60%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Brighton W London City Lionesses
HATHAT
Played67136713
Wins50%29%38%50%29%38%
Draws17%14%15%0%14%8%
Loses33%57%46%50%57%54%

Form: Brighton W: DLWWLLLDWWLLW • London City Lionesses: LLWLWWLWWLLDL

League goals

Metric Brighton W London City Lionesses
HATHAT
GF total115168715
GF avg1.80.71.21.31.01.2
GA total8715101323
GA avg1.31.01.21.71.91.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBrighton WLondon City Lionesses
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%69%69%77%
1.523%31%23%46%
2.515%15%15%23%
3.515%0%8%23%
4.50%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBrighton WLondon City Lionesses
HATHAT
Clean sheets224213
Failed to score224134

Penalties

MetricBrighton WLondon City Lionesses
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricBrighton WLondon City Lionesses
Wins22
Draws11
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-14-21-3
Biggest losses0-32-11-54-1
Goals For4143
Goals Against3254

Model comparison

MetricBrighton WLondon City Lionesses
Form69%31%
Att64%36%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h67%33%
Goals60%40%
Total62.7%37.3%

Advice: Double chance : Brighton W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.12 @ Dafabet
Draw3.75 @ Bet365
Away3.27 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.58 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.43 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.56 @ 188Bet
No2.60 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Brighton W = 1.95 (league 1.76), London City Lionesses = 0.92 (league 1.41)

London City Lionesses
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brighton W 0 5.7% 5.2% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.0% 10.2% 4.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.7% 9.9% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.0% 6.4% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.4% 3.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.8% · Draw 21.5% · Away win 17.2%

vtt 4 , vtd1