FA WSL — England
Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 14:30 • Etihad Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.76) 1.09 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.2% 28.4% 33.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
1 - 0
12.1%
0 - 1
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Chelsea W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester City W 0 10.1% 11.1% 6.1% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.1% 13.2% 7.2% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.2% 7.9% 4.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.9% 3.2% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricManchester City WChelsea W
Played55
Form100%47%
Attack100%56%
Defense88%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)16 | 3.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Manchester City W Chelsea W
HATHAT
Played76137613
Wins100%83%92%71%50%62%
Draws0%0%0%0%50%23%
Loses0%17%8%29%0%15%

Form: Manchester City W: LWWWWWWWWWWWW • Chelsea W: WWWWDWWDDLWWL

League goals

Metric Manchester City W Chelsea W
HATHAT
GF total211536111324
GF avg3.02.52.81.62.21.8
GA total5611448
GA avg0.71.00.80.60.70.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineManchester City WChelsea W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%69%85%54%
1.585%15%46%8%
2.546%0%31%0%
3.523%0%15%0%
4.515%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricManchester City WChelsea W
HATHAT
Clean sheets314426
Failed to score000202

Penalties

MetricManchester City WChelsea W
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricManchester City WChelsea W
Wins04
Draws02
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-11-55-00-4
Biggest losses—2-10-2—
Goals For6554
Goals Against2221

Model comparison

MetricManchester City WChelsea W
Form68%32%
Att64%36%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total51.3%48.7%

Advice: Double chance : Manchester City W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.55 @ Bet365
Draw3.63 @ Pinnacle
Away2.70 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.09 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Unibet
No2.27 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Manchester City W = 1.20 (league 1.76), Chelsea W = 1.09 (league 1.41)

Chelsea W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester City W 0 10.1% 11.1% 6.1% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.1% 13.2% 7.2% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.2% 7.9% 4.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.9% 3.2% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.2% · Draw 28.4% · Away win 33.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1