Sun, Feb 8 2026 • 12:00 •
St Helens Stadium
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.73)
0.98 (league 1.42)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.5% | 32.6% | 37.8% |
best score tips
0 - 0
16.3%
0 - 1
16.0%
1 - 0
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Aston Villa W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Liverpool W | 0 | 16.3% | 16.0% | 7.9% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.5% | 13.3% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.6% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Liverpool W | Aston Villa W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 40% |
| Attack | 28% | 44% |
| Defense | 56% | 28% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Liverpool W | Aston Villa W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Wins | 14% | 0% | 7% | 29% | 29% | 29% |
| Draws | 43% | 14% | 29% | 29% | 29% | 29% |
| Loses | 43% | 86% | 64% | 43% | 43% | 43% |
Liverpool WLLLLLLDDLLDDWL
Aston Villa WDLDWDDWLLWLWLL
League goals
| Metric | Liverpool W | Aston Villa W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 18 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 10 | 14 | 24 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Liverpool W | Aston Villa W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 86% | 86% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 14% | 57% | 29% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 21% | 14% | 36% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Liverpool W | Aston Villa W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Liverpool W | Aston Villa W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Liverpool W | Aston Villa W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 3-0 | 1-4 | 6-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Liverpool W | Aston Villa W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45% | 55% |
| Att | 38% | 62% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 47% | 53% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 51.3% | 48.7% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.60 @ Unibet
Draw3.45 @ Superbet
Away2.80 @ Bet365
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.93 @ SBO
Under 2.52.02 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.74 @ 188Bet
No2.28 @ Unibet
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League standings
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