Sun, Feb 15 2026 • 12:00 •
Kingsmeadow
Expected Goals
1.84 (league 1.74)
0.29 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 74.6% | 19.1% | 5.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
21.7%
2 - 0
20.0%
3 - 0
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Liverpool W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chelsea W | 0 | 11.8% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.7% | 6.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 20.0% | 5.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.3% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Chelsea W | Liverpool W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 53% |
| Attack | 58% | 47% |
| Defense | 63% | 68% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Chelsea W | Liverpool W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 71% | 50% | 60% | 25% | 0% | 13% |
| Draws | 0% | 38% | 20% | 38% | 14% | 27% |
| Loses | 29% | 13% | 20% | 38% | 86% | 60% |
Chelsea WWWWWDWWDDLWWLLW
Liverpool WLLLLLLDDLLDDWLW
League goals
| Metric | Chelsea W | Liverpool W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 16 | 27 | 10 | 5 | 15 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 4 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 25 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Chelsea W | Liverpool W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 87% | 53% | 67% | 87% |
| 1.5 | 47% | 13% | 20% | 53% |
| 2.5 | 27% | 7% | 7% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 7% | 7% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 7% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Chelsea W | Liverpool W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Chelsea W | Liverpool W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Chelsea W | Liverpool W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-4 | 4-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 5-1 | 1-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Chelsea W | Liverpool W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 46% | 54% |
| Poisson Distribution | 87% | 13% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 84% | 16% |
| Total | 69.7% | 30.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.15 @ William Hill
Draw8.30 @ Pinnacle
Away19.00 @ Betfair
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.50 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.75 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.67 @ 188Bet
No1.58 @ Unibet
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League standings
Loading standings…