FA WSL — England
Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 11:55 • Villa Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.03 (league 1.74) 3.99 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.9% 7.8% 65.8%
best score tips
1 - 3
7.2%
1 - 4
7.2%
0 - 3
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
Manchester City W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aston Villa W 0 0.7% 2.6% 5.2% 7.0% 6.9% 5.6%
1 0.7% 2.7% 5.4% 7.2% 7.2% 5.7%
2 0.4% 1.4% 2.8% 3.7% 3.7% 3.0%
3 0.1% 0.5% 1.0% 1.3% 1.3% 1.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAston Villa WManchester City W
Played55
Form20%80%
Attack36%68%
Defense18%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.615 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)18 | 3.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aston Villa W Manchester City W
HATHAT
Played88169716
Wins25%25%25%100%71%88%
Draws25%25%25%0%0%0%
Loses50%50%50%0%29%13%

Form: Aston Villa W: DLDWDDWLLWLWLLLL • Manchester City W: LWWWWWWWWWWWWWLW

League goals

Metric Aston Villa W Manchester City W
HATHAT
GF total14822321547
GF avg1.81.01.43.62.12.9
GA total2115366713
GA avg2.61.92.30.71.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAston Villa WManchester City W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%69%94%69%
1.531%56%81%13%
2.519%44%50%0%
3.50%25%31%0%
4.50%13%25%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAston Villa WManchester City W
HATHAT
Clean sheets235415
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricAston Villa WManchester City W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricAston Villa WManchester City W
Wins113
Draws20
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-26-01-5
Biggest losses3-76-1—2-1
Goals For3265
Goals Against7622

Model comparison

MetricAston Villa WManchester City W
Form20%80%
Att35%65%
Def14%86%
Poisson Distribution22%78%
H2h0%100%
Goals24%76%
Total23.0%77.0%

Advice: Combo Winner : Manchester City W and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home10.00 @ 10Bet
Draw6.30 @ Pinnacle
Away1.28 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.85 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Pinnacle
No2.02 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aston Villa W = 1.03 (league 1.74), Manchester City W = 3.99 (league 1.37)

Manchester City W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aston Villa W 0 0.7% 2.6% 5.2% 7.0% 6.9% 5.6%
1 0.7% 2.7% 5.4% 7.2% 7.2% 5.7%
2 0.4% 1.4% 2.8% 3.7% 3.7% 3.0%
3 0.1% 0.5% 1.0% 1.3% 1.3% 1.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.9% · Draw 7.8% · Away win 65.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1