FA WSL — England
Wed, Mar 18 2026 • 19:00 • Kingsmeadow
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.73) 0.32 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.0% 31.0% 9.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
26.2%
0 - 0
21.7%
2 - 0
15.8%
Score & goals probability table
Brighton W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelsea W 0 21.7% 7.0% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.2% 8.4% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.8% 5.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.3% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChelsea WBrighton W
Played55
Form60%20%
Attack100%63%
Defense13%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chelsea W Brighton W
HATHAT
Played88167815
Wins75%50%63%43%25%33%
Draws0%38%19%14%13%13%
Loses25%13%19%43%63%53%

Form: Chelsea W: WWWWDWWDDLWWLLWW • Brighton W: DLWWLLLDWWLLWLL

League goals

Metric Chelsea W Brighton W
HATHAT
GF total13162912719
GF avg1.62.01.81.70.91.3
GA total4913101020
GA avg0.51.10.81.41.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChelsea WBrighton W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%50%73%73%
1.550%13%27%40%
2.525%6%13%20%
3.513%6%13%0%
4.56%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChelsea WBrighton W
HATHAT
Clean sheets538224
Failed to score202224

Penalties

MetricChelsea WBrighton W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricChelsea WBrighton W
Wins42
Draws21
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-44-10-1
Biggest losses0-25-10-33-2
Goals For5442
Goals Against2533

Model comparison

MetricChelsea WBrighton W
Form75%25%
Att67%33%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h93%7%
Goals73%27%
Total74.7%25.3%

Advice: Double chance : Chelsea W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.25 @ Betano
Draw6.75 @ Unibet
Away14.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ 10Bet
Under 2.53.20 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chelsea W = 1.20 (league 1.73), Brighton W = 0.32 (league 1.40)

Brighton W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelsea W 0 21.7% 7.0% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.2% 8.4% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.8% 5.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.3% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.0% · Draw 31.0% · Away win 9.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1