FA WSL — England
Sun, Mar 29 2026 • 11:00 • Kingsmeadow
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.75 (league 1.75) 0.47 (league 1.39)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.7% 21.9% 9.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.0%
2 - 0
16.6%
0 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Aston Villa W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelsea W 0 10.9% 5.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.0% 9.0% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.6% 7.8% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.6% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChelsea WAston Villa W
Played55
Form67%27%
Attack53%47%
Defense53%7%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.414 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chelsea W Aston Villa W
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins78%44%61%22%33%28%
Draws0%44%22%33%22%28%
Loses22%11%17%44%44%44%

Form: Chelsea W: WWWWDWWDDLWWLLWWWD • Aston Villa W: DLDWDDWLLWLWLLLLDW

League goals

Metric Chelsea W Aston Villa W
HATHAT
GF total151732141024
GF avg1.71.91.81.61.11.3
GA total51015211637
GA avg0.61.10.82.31.82.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChelsea WAston Villa W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%56%83%67%
1.550%11%33%50%
2.522%6%17%39%
3.511%6%0%22%
4.56%6%0%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChelsea WAston Villa W
HATHAT
Clean sheets538336
Failed to score202213

Penalties

MetricChelsea WAston Villa W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricChelsea WAston Villa W
Wins41
Draws22
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-43-00-2
Biggest losses0-25-13-76-1
Goals For5432
Goals Against2576

Model comparison

MetricChelsea WAston Villa W
Form71%29%
Att53%47%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h100%0%
Goals93%7%
Total73.0%27.0%

Advice: Double chance : Chelsea W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.22 @ Bet365
Draw7.22 @ Pinnacle
Away13.50 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.76 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.81 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chelsea W = 1.75 (league 1.75), Aston Villa W = 0.47 (league 1.39)

Aston Villa W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelsea W 0 10.9% 5.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.0% 9.0% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.6% 7.8% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.6% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.7% · Draw 21.9% · Away win 9.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1