Fri, Nov 7 2025 • 14:20 • Al-Saada Stadium
Match Finished
4 - 1
Expected Goals
1.51 (league 1.33) 1.12 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.7% 25.6% 28.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.2%
1 - 0
10.9%
2 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Ibri
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al Nasr 0 7.2% 8.1% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.9% 12.2% 6.8% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.2% 9.2% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.1% 4.6% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.6% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAl NasrIbri
Played44
Form58%8%
Attack29%24%
Defense76%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 1.34 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 18 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Al Nasr Ibri
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins50%50%50%0%0%0%
Draws0%50%25%50%0%25%
Loses50%0%25%50%100%75%

Form: Al Nasr: WWDL • Ibri: LDLL

League goals

Metric Al Nasr Ibri
HATHAT
GF total235224
GF avg1.01.51.31.01.01.0
GA total314448
GA avg1.50.51.02.02.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAl NasrIbri
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%75%75%
1.550%25%25%75%
2.50%0%0%25%
3.50%0%0%25%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAl NasrIbri
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score101101

Penalties

MetricAl NasrIbri
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAl NasrIbri
Wins20
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-2——
Biggest losses0-2—2-42-1
Goals For2221
Goals Against2142

Model comparison

MetricAl NasrIbri
Form88%13%
Att56%44%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h91%9%
Goals83%17%
Total74.2%26.0%

Advice: Double chance : Al Nasr or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.78 @ Betano
Draw3.34 @ Pinnacle
Away5.25 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.32 @ Superbet
No1.57 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.48 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Al Nasr = 1.51 (league 1.33), Ibri = 1.12 (league 1.34)

Ibri
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al Nasr 0 7.2% 8.1% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.9% 12.2% 6.8% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.2% 9.2% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.1% 4.6% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.6% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.7% · Draw 25.6% · Away win 28.1%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1