Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio di Domagnano
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.65 (league 1.32) 0.74 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.7% 14.0% 8.0%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.9%
3 - 0
10.5%
1 - 0
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Murata
0 1 2 3 4 5
La Fiorita 0 3.4% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.0% 6.6% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.9% 8.8% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.5% 7.7% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.9% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.7% 2.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLa FioritaMurata
Played22
Form67%17%
Attack100%14%
Defense71%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 3.51 | 0.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 13 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric La Fiorita Murata
HATHAT
Played022112
Wins—50%50%0%0%0%
Draws—50%50%0%100%50%
Loses—0%0%100%0%50%

Form: La Fiorita: DW • Murata: LD

League goals

Metric La Fiorita Murata
HATHAT
GF total077011
GF avg0.03.53.50.01.00.5
GA total022213
GA avg0.01.01.02.01.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLa FioritaMurata
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%50%100%
1.5100%50%0%50%
2.550%0%0%0%
3.550%0%0%0%
4.550%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLa FioritaMurata
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricLa FioritaMurata
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricLa FioritaMurata
Wins00
Draws10
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-5——
Biggest losses——0-2—
Goals For0501
Goals Against0221

Model comparison

MetricLa FioritaMurata
Form80%20%
Att88%13%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h80%20%
Goals69%31%
Total75.4%24.8%

Advice: Winner : La Fiorita

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.23 @ Superbet
Draw5.70 @ Marathonbet
Away13.80 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.81 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.79 @ Marathonbet
No1.43 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): La Fiorita = 2.65 (league 1.32), Murata = 0.74 (league 1.35)

Murata
0 1 2 3 4 5
La Fiorita 0 3.4% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.0% 6.6% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.9% 8.8% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.5% 7.7% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.9% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.7% 2.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.7% · Draw 14.0% · Away win 8.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1