Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 19:15 • Stadio di Domagnano
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.27 (league 1.32) 0.37 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
78.0% 14.5% 4.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
18.4%
1 - 0
16.2%
3 - 0
13.9%
Cailungo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Libertas 0 7.2% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.2% 6.0% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.4% 6.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.9% 5.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.9% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLibertasCailungo
Played22
Form17%17%
Attack15%5%
Defense70%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 1.51 | 0.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 34 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Libertas Cailungo
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins0%0%0%0%0%0%
Draws100%0%50%100%0%50%
Loses0%100%50%0%100%50%

Form: Libertas: DL • Cailungo: LD

League goals

Metric Libertas Cailungo
HATHAT
GF total123101
GF avg1.02.01.51.00.00.5
GA total156134
GA avg1.05.03.01.03.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLibertasCailungo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%50%100%
1.550%50%0%50%
2.50%50%0%50%
3.50%50%0%0%
4.50%50%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLibertasCailungo
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricLibertasCailungo
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLibertasCailungo
Wins00
Draws10
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins————
Biggest losses—5-2—3-0
Goals For1210
Goals Against1513

Model comparison

MetricLibertasCailungo
Form50%50%
Att75%25%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h85%15%
Goals64%36%
Total62.8%37.2%

Advice: Double chance : Libertas or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.78 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.46 @ Pinnacle
Away2.47 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.10 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Superbet
No2.27 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Libertas = 2.27 (league 1.32), Cailungo = 0.37 (league 1.35)

Cailungo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Libertas 0 7.2% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.2% 6.0% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.4% 6.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.9% 5.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.9% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.0% · Draw 14.5% · Away win 4.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1