Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 19:15 • Stadio Fonte dellOvo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.38 (league 1.32) 1.11 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.6% 33.1% 54.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
25.1%
0 - 0
22.6%
0 - 2
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
Faetano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cailungo 0 22.6% 25.1% 13.9% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3%
1 8.6% 9.5% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 1.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCailungoFaetano
Played44
Form33%25%
Attack18%27%
Defense45%9%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.53 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.510 | 2.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cailungo Faetano
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins0%50%25%0%50%25%
Draws50%0%25%0%0%0%
Loses50%50%50%100%50%75%

Form: Cailungo: LDWL • Faetano: WLLL

League goals

Metric Cailungo Faetano
HATHAT
GF total112123
GF avg0.50.50.50.51.00.8
GA total3368210
GA avg1.51.51.54.01.02.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCailungoFaetano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%75%50%75%
1.50%50%25%75%
2.50%25%0%25%
3.50%0%0%25%
4.50%0%0%25%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCailungoFaetano
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricCailungoFaetano
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricCailungoFaetano
Wins11
Draws10
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-1—0-2
Biggest losses0-23-00-62-0
Goals For1112
Goals Against2362

Model comparison

MetricCailungoFaetano
Form57%43%
Att40%60%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h60%40%
Goals63%38%
Total51.7%48.7%

Advice: Double chance : Cailungo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.32 @ Betano
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away2.62 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.69 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.20 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Superbet
No2.32 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cailungo = 0.38 (league 1.32), Faetano = 1.11 (league 1.35)

Faetano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cailungo 0 22.6% 25.1% 13.9% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3%
1 8.6% 9.5% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 1.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.6% · Draw 33.1% · Away win 54.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1