Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio Fonte Dell'Ovo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.89 (league 1.32) 2.95 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.2% 16.8% 51.9%
best score tips
1 - 2
6.5%
1 - 3
6.4%
2 - 2
6.1%
Score & goals probability table
Tre Fiori
0 1 2 3 4 5
Domagnano 0 0.8% 2.3% 3.4% 3.4% 2.5% 1.5%
1 1.5% 4.4% 6.5% 6.4% 4.7% 2.8%
2 1.4% 4.2% 6.1% 6.0% 4.5% 2.6%
3 0.9% 2.6% 3.9% 3.8% 2.8% 1.7%
4 0.4% 1.2% 1.8% 1.8% 1.3% 0.8%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDomagnanoTre Fiori
Played44
Form67%100%
Attack69%69%
Defense85%92%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 2.39 | 2.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.51 | 0.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

7.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Domagnano Tre Fiori
HATHAT
Played134224
Wins100%33%50%100%100%100%
Draws0%67%50%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Domagnano: WWDD • Tre Fiori: WWWW

League goals

Metric Domagnano Tre Fiori
HATHAT
GF total549549
GF avg5.01.32.32.52.02.3
GA total202011
GA avg2.00.00.50.00.50.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDomagnanoTre Fiori
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%25%100%25%
1.550%25%50%0%
2.550%0%50%0%
3.550%0%25%0%
4.525%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDomagnanoTre Fiori
HATHAT
Clean sheets033213
Failed to score022000

Penalties

MetricDomagnanoTre Fiori
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricDomagnanoTre Fiori
Wins24
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-20-44-01-3
Biggest losses————
Goals For5443
Goals Against2001

Model comparison

MetricDomagnanoTre Fiori
Form40%60%
Att50%50%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h38%62%
Goals36%64%
Total39.8%60.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Tre Fiori

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.70 @ Betano
Draw3.42 @ Marathonbet
Away1.73 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.17 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.66 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ Superbet
No1.73 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Domagnano = 1.89 (league 1.32), Tre Fiori = 2.95 (league 1.35)

Tre Fiori
0 1 2 3 4 5
Domagnano 0 0.8% 2.3% 3.4% 3.4% 2.5% 1.5%
1 1.5% 4.4% 6.5% 6.4% 4.7% 2.8%
2 1.4% 4.2% 6.1% 6.0% 4.5% 2.6%
3 0.9% 2.6% 3.9% 3.8% 2.8% 1.7%
4 0.4% 1.2% 1.8% 1.8% 1.3% 0.8%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.2% · Draw 16.8% · Away win 51.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1