Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 19:15 • San Marino Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.83 (league 1.32) 0.18 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
84.1% 7.8% 1.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
19.6%
3 - 0
18.5%
1 - 0
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
Fiorentino
0 1 2 3 4 5
Folgore 0 4.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.8% 2.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.6% 3.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 18.5% 3.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 13.1% 2.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 7.4% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFolgoreFiorentino
Played44
Form75%42%
Attack73%27%
Defense82%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 23 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.53 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Folgore Fiorentino
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins100%50%75%50%0%25%
Draws0%0%0%50%50%50%
Loses0%50%25%0%50%25%

Form: Folgore: WLWW • Fiorentino: LWDD

League goals

Metric Folgore Fiorentino
HATHAT
GF total538213
GF avg2.51.52.01.00.50.8
GA total022033
GA avg0.01.00.50.01.50.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFolgoreFiorentino
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%25%50%50%
1.575%25%25%25%
2.525%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFolgoreFiorentino
HATHAT
Clean sheets213202
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricFolgoreFiorentino
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricFolgoreFiorentino
Wins11
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-22-0—
Biggest losses—2-1—2-0
Goals For3221
Goals Against0202

Model comparison

MetricFolgoreFiorentino
Form64%36%
Att73%27%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h75%25%
Goals60%40%
Total66.4%33.6%

Advice: Winner : Folgore

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.83 @ Superbet
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away4.12 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Marathonbet
No1.97 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Folgore = 2.83 (league 1.32), Fiorentino = 0.18 (league 1.35)

Fiorentino
0 1 2 3 4 5
Folgore 0 4.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.8% 2.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.6% 3.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 18.5% 3.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 13.1% 2.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 7.4% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 84.1% · Draw 7.8% · Away win 1.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1