Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 13:00 • Fitano Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.32) 4.43 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.3% 6.6% 60.6%
best score tips
1 - 4
7.0%
1 - 3
6.3%
1 - 5
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
Libertas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Faetano 0 0.4% 1.7% 3.8% 5.5% 6.1% 5.4%
1 0.4% 1.9% 4.3% 6.3% 7.0% 6.2%
2 0.2% 1.1% 2.4% 3.6% 4.0% 3.5%
3 0.1% 0.4% 0.9% 1.4% 1.5% 1.3%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFaetanoLibertas
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack29%36%
Defense29%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

7.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Faetano Libertas
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins0%67%40%33%0%20%
Draws0%0%0%33%50%40%
Loses100%33%60%33%50%40%

Form: Faetano: WLLLW • Libertas: DLLWD

League goals

Metric Faetano Libertas
HATHAT
GF total134235
GF avg0.51.00.80.71.51.0
GA total8210268
GA avg4.00.72.00.73.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFaetanoLibertas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%60%80%80%
1.520%60%20%20%
2.50%20%0%20%
3.50%20%0%20%
4.50%20%0%20%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFaetanoLibertas
HATHAT
Clean sheets022101
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricFaetanoLibertas
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricFaetanoLibertas
Wins11
Draws01
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-21-0—
Biggest losses0-62-00-15-2
Goals For1212
Goals Against6215

Model comparison

MetricFaetanoLibertas
Form55%45%
Att44%56%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution20%80%
H2h60%40%
Goals60%40%
Total47.2%52.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Faetano or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.74 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away2.31 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.60 @ Marathonbet
No2.18 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Faetano = 1.14 (league 1.32), Libertas = 4.43 (league 1.36)

Libertas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Faetano 0 0.4% 1.7% 3.8% 5.5% 6.1% 5.4%
1 0.4% 1.9% 4.3% 6.3% 7.0% 6.2%
2 0.2% 1.1% 2.4% 3.6% 4.0% 3.5%
3 0.1% 0.4% 0.9% 1.4% 1.5% 1.3%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.3% · Draw 6.6% · Away win 60.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1