Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 16:15 • Stadio di Fiorentino
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.45 (league 1.32) 2.22 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
6.1% 15.9% 75.4%
best score tips
0 - 2
17.0%
0 - 1
15.4%
0 - 3
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Virtus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fiorentino 0 6.9% 15.4% 17.0% 12.6% 7.0% 3.1%
1 3.1% 7.0% 7.7% 5.7% 3.2% 1.4%
2 0.7% 1.6% 1.7% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFiorentinoVirtus
Played55
Form33%87%
Attack20%73%
Defense60%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

47%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fiorentino Virtus
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%0%20%67%100%80%
Draws50%33%40%33%0%20%
Loses0%67%40%0%0%0%

Form: Fiorentino: LWDDL • Virtus: DWWWW

League goals

Metric Fiorentino Virtus
HATHAT
GF total2136511
GF avg1.00.30.62.02.52.2
GA total066303
GA avg0.02.01.21.00.00.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFiorentinoVirtus
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.540%60%100%40%
1.520%40%100%20%
2.50%20%20%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFiorentinoVirtus
HATHAT
Clean sheets202123
Failed to score123000

Penalties

MetricFiorentinoVirtus
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricFiorentinoVirtus
Wins10
Draws21
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—2-00-3
Biggest losses—3-0——
Goals For2123
Goals Against0320

Model comparison

MetricFiorentinoVirtus
Form28%72%
Att21%79%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h29%71%
Goals25%75%
Total27.2%72.8%

Advice: Winner : Virtus

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fiorentino = 0.45 (league 1.32), Virtus = 2.22 (league 1.35)

Virtus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fiorentino 0 6.9% 15.4% 17.0% 12.6% 7.0% 3.1%
1 3.1% 7.0% 7.7% 5.7% 3.2% 1.4%
2 0.7% 1.6% 1.7% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.1% · Draw 15.9% · Away win 75.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1