Fri, Oct 24 2025 • 19:15 • Stadio Fonte dellOvo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.39 (league 1.32) 0.88 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.5% 38.7% 45.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
28.2%
0 - 1
24.8%
0 - 2
10.9%
Tre Fiori
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tre Penne 0 28.2% 24.8% 10.9% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1%
1 10.9% 9.6% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
2 2.1% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTre PenneTre Fiori
Played55
Form67%100%
Attack56%61%
Defense78%89%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tre Penne Tre Fiori
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins100%33%67%100%100%100%
Draws0%33%17%0%0%0%
Loses0%33%17%0%0%0%

Form: Tre Penne: WWWDWL • Tre Fiori: WWWWWW

League goals

Metric Tre Penne Tre Fiori
HATHAT
GF total57127512
GF avg1.72.32.02.31.72.0
GA total044112
GA avg0.01.30.70.30.30.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTre PenneTre Fiori
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%33%100%33%
1.550%17%50%0%
2.517%17%33%0%
3.517%0%17%0%
4.517%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTre PenneTre Fiori
HATHAT
Clean sheets314224
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricTre PenneTre Fiori
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricTre PenneTre Fiori
Wins36
Draws10
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-64-01-3
Biggest losses—3-0——
Goals For2643
Goals Against0311

Model comparison

MetricTre PenneTre Fiori
Form40%60%
Att48%52%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals45%55%
Total43.2%56.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Tre Fiori and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ 1xBet
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away2.97 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.73 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ Marathonbet
No1.88 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tre Penne = 0.39 (league 1.32), Tre Fiori = 0.88 (league 1.35)

Tre Fiori
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tre Penne 0 28.2% 24.8% 10.9% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1%
1 10.9% 9.6% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
2 2.1% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.5% · Draw 38.7% · Away win 45.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1