Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 15:00 • Stadio Fonte Dell'Ovo
Match Finished
2 - 1
Expected Goals
1.06 (league 1.32) 0.74 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.5% 32.3% 25.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.5%
0 - 0
16.6%
1 - 1
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Faetano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Virtus 0 16.6% 12.2% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.5% 13.0% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.3% 6.9% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.3% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVirtusFaetano
Played55
Form100%27%
Attack68%16%
Defense95%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.211 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Virtus Faetano
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins67%100%83%0%67%33%
Draws33%0%17%33%0%17%
Loses0%0%0%67%33%50%

Form: Virtus: DWWWWW • Faetano: WLLLWD

League goals

Metric Virtus Faetano
HATHAT
GF total6915235
GF avg2.03.02.50.71.00.8
GA total3039211
GA avg1.00.00.53.00.71.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVirtusFaetano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%33%67%67%
1.5100%17%17%50%
2.533%0%0%17%
3.517%0%0%17%
4.50%0%0%17%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVirtusFaetano
HATHAT
Clean sheets134022
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricVirtusFaetano
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricVirtusFaetano
Wins01
Draws10
Losses03

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-4—0-2
Biggest losses——0-62-0
Goals For2412
Goals Against2062

Model comparison

MetricVirtusFaetano
Form79%21%
Att81%19%
Def92%8%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h100%0%
Goals82%18%
Total78.8%21.2%

Advice: Double chance : Virtus or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.12 @ Bet365
Draw8.70 @ Pinnacle
Away20.50 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.39 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.42 @ Superbet
No1.50 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Virtus = 1.06 (league 1.32), Faetano = 0.74 (league 1.35)

Faetano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Virtus 0 16.6% 12.2% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.5% 13.0% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.3% 6.9% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.3% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.5% · Draw 32.3% · Away win 25.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1